happygilmore
10:34 Fri Mar 9
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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AE,
Agree fully. Read none of these. Bookies and jockeys giving tips. Yeah, right.
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Athletico Easthamico
10:25 Fri Mar 9
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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Anybody relying on Preview Nights has a problem.
The information is all out there.
This just results in PARSLYSIS BY ANAYSIS.
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jonthehammer
9:18 Fri Mar 9
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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Sorry for delay chaps
Preview Night 2
Paul Nicholls, Davy Russell and Bryony Frost
DAY 1
Supreme Novices Chase
Obviously my selection was CLAIMANTAKINFORGAN... Paul Nicholls didn't have many opinions on the race but we were both of the thought that KLASHNIKOV didn't have much of a chance on livelier ground and after such a hard race at Newbury. We also both thought that GETABIRD was too short for a horse that until last month wasn't even considered a Supreme runner..
Arkle
PETIT MOUCHOIR was the most popular horse. Paul Nicholls didn't particularly agree that Footpad would go to the JLT but at the same time thought that PETIT MOUCHOIR had the better chance to win on all known form. He felt the ground would be too fast for SAINT CALVADOS and that SCEAU ROYAL didn't have much of a chance on what he's achieved to date.
Ultima Handicap Chase
This race wasn't covered but the Owner of SINGLEFARMPAYMENT was in the audience. I spoke to him after and he confirmed that the horse was once again being sent for a crack at the race having been beaten on a photo last time out. He's had a stop start campaign and had a few issue's but is in cracking form right now.
Champion Hurdle
BUVEUR D'AIR was considered by all three of us to be the banker of the meeting. As long as he jumps he'll be all but impossible to beat.
Mares Hurdle
Again all three consider APPLES JADE to be incredibly hard to beat.
4m Chase
Race wasn't discussed but I put forward a case to why DOUNIKOS should run a good race if he can get home.
Close Brothers Novice Chase
Paul has MOVEWITHTHETIMES entered in this and one other race. He feels whichever one he runs in, this the more likely, he would have a cracking each way chance.
DAY 2
Ballymore Novices Chase
The race wasn't really discussed but SAMCRO is without a doubt the horse to beat.
RSA
I thought PRESENTING PERCY would be hard to beat and is the pick of Davy Russell who has the choice of the two market leaders. Paul and Bryony are expecting BLACK CORTON to be bang in contention too and a good each way bet.
Coral Cup
Paul feels that if TOPOFTHEGAME can stay sound and take his place he'd have a great chance. He's a horse that Nicholls thinks has a big future over fences next year
Champion Chase
ALTIOR was considered to be tough to beat, Paul conceded that he had hoped Politilogue would have given him a real race last time out, admitting that the only light was that Altior was poor in last years Arkle, for all he won. He expects POLITOLOGUE to be 2nd, isn't worried about MIN who we all felt is massively under-priced considering his form and runs this year have been poor.
Cross Country Chase
Wasn't discussed
Fred Winter
Of Pauls entries he's expecting ACT OF VALOUR to come out best of his and feels he's been nicely handicapped. He had run SAO last week to get him handicapped for the race but was disappointed that the handicapper refused to give him a mark. SAO remains a horse to track. I also spoke to him in private about a horse I've been following for some time called BIRDS OF PREY, he gave me a wry smile and said yeah he's decent, but he's taken his time to mature. He did however school well on Tuesday and may be out soon.
Champion Bumper
Again this race wasn't discussed but again I had a word with the owner of THE BIG BITE. He's a horse that has won both his bumper starts to date and after Noel Fehily rode him on debut he stated that the horse was "the best bumper horse he's ever ridden".. He won his next start with ease too. Now a decision hasn't been made as to whether he takes his chance in the race but he's 25/1 and with NRNB markets widely available he could prove a spot of value.
DAY 3
JLT Novices Chase
Obviously I was firmly in the Footpad camp NRNB.. Paul Nicholls was strongly of the opinion that MODUS was far too big of a price at 25/1, and expected him to run a big race.. We all felt that WILLOUGHBY COURT doesn't jump well enough.
Pertemps Final
Paul stated he needed CONNETABLE to win on the weekend to get a run in the race, clearly that didn't happen. For me, as long as the yard are in better form, LOUIS' VAC POUCH would be very hard to beat given his form, he seemed sold on my case for his chances.
Ryanair
Was a hard race to decipher because so many weren't running.. I felt if DOUVAN ran he'd win, Paul was of the opinion he wouldn't run. He thought WAITING PATIENTLY looks a fantastic horse but we were both of the opinion he may not run. UN DE SCEAUX was the only horse most definatly running and would have another brilliant chance should his rivals not show. Paul and Bryony were both expecting a better run this time round from FRODON, they thought depending on runners he'd have a good chance of a place but conceded it would be hard to win.
Stayers
It was of my opinion that if PENHILL ran he would have a great chance, if not my money would be on THE NEW ONE each way. Being out of Milan he's bred to improve for the step up in trip, Paul agreed. Paul Nicholls felt SAM SPINNER hadn't done a thing wrong this year and was the most likely winner.
Brown & Merribel Chase
One of two entries for MOVEWITHTHETIMES, they'll go to what they feel is the most winnable. BOUVEREUL is also coming back to himself and went close at the festival a year ago. He has a place squeak if he takes his place.
Mares Novice
Wasn't discussed
Kim Muir
One of two entries for BRAQUER D'OR, despite many jokes about the horse (the evenings host is the co owner) it is yet to be decided whether he will be running or not.
DAY 4
Triumph Hurdle
Not many opinions from Paul or Bryony on the race. I felt Apples Shakira would be very hard to beat, he wasn't as sold on her as I was and was concerned about her on faster ground. Since the evening Redicean has firmly put himself into the mix, for me its Apples race to lose.
County Hurdle
Wasn't Discussed
Albert Bartlett
Wasn't Discussed
Gold Cup
We were all of the opinion that MIGHT BITE is the most likely winner with nothing else coming into the race in form. The points were made that all of his rivals have too many question marks... Sizing John flopped last time, Our Duke cant jump well enough, Native River won a 3 runner race against a non stayer and a horse of Nicholls that wasn't fit, Coney Island flopped, Djakadam isn't good enough, Killughtagh Vic fell again, Definitely Red will find it all too quick and Minella Rocco isn't good enough also falling last time out. MIGHT BITE hasn't put a foot wrong and clearly has stamina in abundance.
Foxhunters Chase
WONDERFUL CHARM was Pauls NAP of the meeting. Himself and Bryony both felt that the horse had the most class in the race and with a clear round was the one they all had to beat. I wasn't going to disagree...
The Johnny Henderson and Martin Pipe weren't Discussed...
I was also passed on a horse for your trackers to follow for the future and one that may be a shade under the radar right now. The horse is INTERCONNECTED, he won a point to point at Larkhill last Sunday with total ease and looks like a good horse for the future when he takes to rules racing...
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Son of Sam
12:20 Thu Mar 8
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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Bet No 5, heard an interesting one this morning for the UBS handicap chase day 1 , elliots Out sam* going back for a race he was targetted for and backed heavily apparently in the past , had jumping issues now apparently sorted and have had a very decent NRNB at 33s ew as it may need a few to drop out and wont mind the soft ground on day 1
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pdcwhu
5:52 Sat Feb 17
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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Bapaume Navan
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Northern Sold
5:24 Sat Feb 17
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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Blimey emotional shit that.... how fucking superb was old boy Cue Card there ... but if he is to lose... that's the way to do it... old man Jefferson will be looking down on that one
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Takashi Miike
4:06 Sat Feb 17
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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he looked very, very good
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Northern Sold
3:52 Sat Feb 17
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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Black Corton bangs one in again... RSA next
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jonthehammer
11:14 Fri Feb 16
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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Good luck with that SoS
I am a massive Cause of Causes fan so will follow him blind.
I also think Tiger Roll is being primed for that one.
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Son of Sam
10:22 Fri Feb 16
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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Bet no 4 Josies Orders* 6/1 e/w for the Cross Country Chase
And good luck to all having bets this weekend
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jonthehammer
3:11 Wed Feb 14
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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A summary is great mate.
I have tickets for the Haydock one and may also do Chester
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Flannel
10:40 Wed Feb 14
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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I can do - may not be up to your standards but I will try my best to summarise what is said!
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jonthehammer
9:15 Wed Feb 14
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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Will be interesting to see where which horse goes where. It will start getting clearer in the next couple of weeks I hope.
You doing a write up for Huntingdon?
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Flannel
6:12 Tue Feb 13
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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I can honestly say Presenting Percy will be my biggest lay of the week, don't rate the animal and cant believe it is favourite ahead of Monalee
Im going to a preview evening next Thursday at Huntingdon, my first one.
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jonthehammer
4:43 Tue Feb 13
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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Altior does idle a bit but should be too good but think Min will run a decent race and get fairly close.
My RSA shortlist is very short tbh. I have only got Shattered Love on it. If Al Boum Photo runs in the RSA I will probably back him EW.
You a Presenting Percy fan? Again will he go here or the 4 miler?
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Northern Sold
4:43 Tue Feb 13
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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As long as he goes to the RSA I fancy Black Corton on a e/w
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Flannel
4:38 Tue Feb 13
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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Corrrr thats a big call Jon. Lets wait and see but I don't think Min is in the same bracket as Altior .
What are you thinking for the RSA out of interest? I don't have a strong fancy if I'm honest
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jonthehammer
2:04 Tue Feb 13
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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I think Min will get within 2 lengths of Altior tbh.
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Northern Sold
11:43 Tue Feb 13
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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After Saturday I will take Native River at 6's... he wasn't far off last year and it was probably having the Hennessey and Welsh national that took it out of him... no excuses this time as he'll be fresh as a daisy... to be fair there is no stand out horse as there has been no stand out performances so far
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Flannel
10:47 Tue Feb 13
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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Yeah a bad last run is always concerning!
I have backed SJ though.
Decent price on Skybet today , Altior to win by 4+ lengths = 11/4.
Douvan is the only thing that can get near him in my book but I get the feeling he wont even make cheltenham .
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jonthehammer
9:18 Tue Feb 13
Re: Cheltenham Ante Post & Roll Call
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He just wasn't right that day NS. I think Cheltenham will perk him up.
Who do you fancy for it?
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